United States President Barack Obama has just arrived in Australia. He is here for just 27 hours, which hardly gives him time to ‘knock over a stubby’, and ‘woof down a snag’. Alright, enough of the ridiculous Australian colloquialisms. This is a trip sandwiched in between two events; the APEC conference in Hawaii and important talks with Indonesian President Susilo BangBang Yudhoyono at the East Asia Summit. Though it is a very short visit, its impact sends a strong message around the world, especially to Asia, that Australia and the United States are strong allies and will demonstrate that in two significant events during Obama’s time in Australia.
Firstly, Obama will celebrate 60 years of the ANZUS Treaty. Secondly, he will travel to Darwin to announce that American marines will be rotated through a military base there. So, even though this is a fleeting visit, what the United States is telling the world in 27 hours is that it and Australia are very firm friends indeed and that through that friendship, they will be allowed much more muscle in this part of the world than they have had before. What Australia is saying is merely confirming what it has always been said about the US for years; relations with that country are strong and powerful and they are more than welcome to extend their arm further into this country.
That’s what the most obvious signal is. But what is this visit really saying? Is this a case of America running in and taking over…again? Friendship and ‘cooperation’ are great words and kisses at the airport between Gillard and Obama are all well and good, but friendships are only really valued when they are tested. China is watching very closely. Although Obama says that he is not scared of China, the watchful eye is glancing northward. Putting a marine base at the top end of Australia sends a message that the might and power of the United States is merely a stone’s throw away. China won’t be ignoring the next 27 hours, but they won’t be jumping up and down either. It is almost like the showdown at high noon in the old westerns, but this time there will be a lot of staring but no guns or inevitable death.
It’s not just the US that China will be watching. They will have seen over many years the positive relationship that Australia has had with the US. I am sure like a lot of us, they have wondered whether Australia just panders to the US, rather than sees itself as an equal and respected partner and ally. Former Prime Minister John Howard did nothing to quell those fears. Coupled with a great friendship with one of the most mindless Presidents in US history, Howard disassociated himself with Asia for most of his nearly 12 years in power. China saw the back of Australia more times than it saw its face. Former Prime Minister Kevin Rudd re-engaged with China in a big way, but let China know that it could be a tough friend when it needed to be. His intimate knowledge of Chinese culture and language made him someone who could talk to China at a much deeper level, but also maintain the friendship with the US.
Prime Minister Julia Gillard said a few days ago, ” we believe we can have a friend in China and an ally in the United States.” Notice she never referred to China as an ally. China is like Russia; smile and be nice, but be careful about every step they take. By her saying that, she has reaffirmed her predecessor’s thoughts by saying that Australia’s door is open, but the United States is our ally and will remain so.
A commentator said today that the friendship will be tested if and when the issue of Taiwan comes to a head. This is where the purpose of the military base will kick in. History has shown us that we fight whenever the US tell us to, but we also need to know when to say no. We need to be that tough friend with the US too. Surely Gillard and her government are well aware of what it means to allow the US military to be based here…and in Darwin of all places.
Let’s hope that we haven’t dug a hole too big to get out of. One thing the United States is good at doing is creating big problems that lead to military quagmires that end in pathetic stalemates. We need only mention Korea, Vietnam, Iraq and Afghanistan. The issue isn’t whether they will recover. They are big. They always do.
It’s the little countries, especially members of treaties such as ANZUS, that stood behind them who are left covered in mud carrying the water.
Enjoy your day












November 13, 2011
Ministry of Silly Shirts
Posted by damob under Politics, Social commentaryLeave a Comment
Well, it’s APEC time again and you know what that means. Yes, time to see all those world leaders wearing something that looks ridiculous even on the people native to that country. Throughout this post, whilst taking you back through the years at some of the more ‘interesting’ attire the leaders were forced to wear, I’ll endeavor to discover why APEC is usually remembered simply for ‘shirt day’ and not much else.
These leaders meetings, whether it be the G20, APEC, CHOGM, ASEAN or others like them are simply talk fests, at least by the time the leaders have arrived. Days, if not weeks before, departmental heads and ministers do the leg work and the late night meetings, making sure that all is ready for show during the leaders conference. The leaders simply turn up and agree on what has already been agreed upon. It’s basically a 2 day photo op for the leaders, a chance to have a chat with old friends, avoid old enemies and wax lyrical about why APEC is important. Like other conferences, it finishes with ‘intent’, ‘commitment to further negotiations and discussions’ and a ‘firm belief and joint cooperation’. They generally come away from these meetings appearing to be singing off the same hymn sheet. That’s important, especially for APEC. It is, we must remember, the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation. If cooperation is not evident,then what is the point?
This year’s conference is in Hawaii. Beautiful beaches, gorgeous weather and Mai Tai’s being drunk as the sun sets over Waikiki. Surprisingly, they are all seriously talking of a free trade agreement within the Asia-Pacific region. Maybe the Hawaiian air is doing them all some good. I always find the groups that gather at both APEC the most disparate and diverse group that you could possibly get together. If this was a party, none of these people would invite each other. What on earth does the Sultan of Brunei have in common with the Canadian Prime Minister? How does Argentina even vaguely relate to Australia? It’s almost like 2 families; the Asian family and the family of the Americas. At least all the significant players in the Asian family are there. The South American family can only be invited if their country sits on the Pacific Ocean! Their neighbours, like Brazil, Paraguay, Costa Rica etc are left out of the loop and whatever deals they agree to may not favour other nations in their continent. Canada and the United States are on the same page, so that’s a good thing. It is easier to get agreement on issues when you ALL have something in common. Having an ocean you all back onto is not really enough in my opinion. If it is a true Asia-Pacific meeting, where is Tonga, Cook Islands, Samoa, just to name a few of the Pacific islands. They at least live smack bang in the middle of the Pacific. Do they not count? Or is this a case yet again of including only the big boys at the poker table? India wanted membership and it doesn’t even rim the Pacific Ocean!
A realistic and practical common bond is importa
nt. In talking with friends last night, the issue came up about Europe and how the whole Eurozone mess is made harder by the fact that Europe itself is so disparate. The Germans are nothing like the French. The British are nothing like the Spaniards and the Greeks are not at all like the Irish. Like APEC, where countries are simply joined together by an ocean, Europe is joined together purely on the basis that they are all European! Policy and agreement on issues is harder when you all see things very, very differently. Australia wants in on the ASEAN forums, but ASEAN is playing hardball and so they should. It is an Asian network. Australia should have engaged with Asia many, many years ago, but apart from former Australian PM Paul Keating stating that ‘we are part of Asia’, no other Australian government till Kevin Rudd pushed a more Asian focus to our trade and foreign policy. We lost 12 good years under John Howard.
Can’t wait to see Obama in that. He’d have to wear it. One mustn’t offend the home town crowd.
Enjoy your day.